Probabilistic forecasts for water consumption in Sydney, Australia from stochastic weather scenarios and a panel data consumption model.

A Barker, A Pitman, J Evans, F Spaninks & L Uthayakumaran
Medium-term (1-10 year) probabilistic forecasts of urban water consumption can be useful in providing a range of possible outcomes for input into the budget and infrastructure planning of a water utility. A stochastic weather generator is developed in this study to generate multiple weather scenarios spanning the financial years 2014/15 to 2024/25 using a daily time step. These weather scenarios are then used as inputs to an existing panel data water consumption model. The resulting...
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