Combining evidence for projecting outcomes – validation of a microsimulation model

Felicitas Kühne, Annette Conrads-Frank, Sarah Kürwitz, Nikita Jegan, Charles Christian Adarkwah, Uwe Popert, Norbert Donner-Banzhoff & Uwe Siebert
Background: Communicating the individual risk of a cardiovascular event is a common and important task of physicians. To improve this communication, a group of researchers of the University of Marburg developed the ARRIBA tool, which reports the individual 10-year probability of a cardiovascular event.[for full text, please go to the a.m. URL]