Understanding Post-COVID Inflation Dynamics
Martín Harding, Jesper Lindé & Mathias Trabandt
We propose a macroeconomic model with a nonlinear Phillips curve that has a flat slope
when inflationary pressures are subdued and steepens when inflationary pressures are
elevated. The nonlinear Phillips curve in our model arises due to a quasi-kinked demand
schedule for goods produced by firms. Our model can jointly account for the modest decline
in inflation during the Great Recession and the surge in inflation post-COVID-19. Because our
model implies a stronger transmission of...
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