Crossbreeding CMIP6 Earth System Models With an Emulator for Regionally Optimized Land Temperature Projections

Lea Beusch, Lukas Gudmundsson & Sonia I. Seneviratne
The newest generation of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) exhibits a larger spread in temperature projections at the end of the 21st century than the previous generation. Here, a modular Earth System Model emulator is used to evaluate the realism of the warming signal in CMIP6 models on both global and regional scales, by comparing their global trends and regional response parameters to observations. Subsequently, the emulator is employed to derive large “crossbred” multimodel...
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