Uncertainty Reduction for Parameters of a Seawater Intrusion Model using Markov Chain Monte Carlo

Ahmed Hassan, Hesham Bekhit, Jenny Chapman & Ahmed Hassan
The Milrow underground nuclear test was one of three tests that were conducted on Amchitka Island, Alaska. A stochastic groundwater flow and contaminant transport model was created for the site which propagated uncertainty in input parameters through flow and transport simulations to yield an output with a wide range of uncertainty. The Consortium for Risk Evaluation with Stakeholder Participation (CRESP) sponsored field efforts in the summer of 2004, which yielded data pertaining to the location...
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