DATA ASSIMILATION TO IMPROVE FORECAST QUALITY OF RIVER BASIN MODELS

Anne Katrine Falk, Michael B. Butts, Henrik Madsen, Johan Hartnack & Anne Katrine Falk
Ideally, real-time flood management decisions must be based on an understanding of the uncertainties and associated risks. It is therefore central for effective flood management tools to provide reliable estimates of the forecast uncertainty. Only by quantifying the inherent uncertainties involved in flood forecasting can effective real-time flood management and warning be carried out. Forecast uncertainty requires the estimation of the uncertainties associated with both the hydrological model inputs (e.g. precipitation observations and forecasts), model...
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