Recent natural variability in global warming weakened phenological mismatch and selection on seasonal timing in great tits (Parus major)

Marcel E. Visser, Melanie Lindner, Phillip Gienapp, Matthew Long & Stephanie Jenouvrier
Climate change has led to phenological shifts in many species, but with large variation in magnitude among species and trophic levels. The poster child example of the resulting phenological mismatches between the phenology of predators and their prey is the great tit (Parus major), where this mismatch led to directional selection for earlier seasonal breeding. Natural climate variability can obscure the impacts of climate change over certain periods, weakening phenological mismatching and selection. Here, we...
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