Data from: Avoidable errors in the modeling of outbreaks of emerging pathogens, with special reference to Ebola

Aaron A. King, Matthieu Domenech De Cellès, Felicia M. G. Magpantay, Pejman Rohani & M. Domenech De Celles
As an emergent infectious disease outbreak unfolds, public health response is reliant on information on key epidemiological quantities, such as transmission potential and serial interval. Increasingly, transmission models fit to incidence data are used to estimate these parameters and guide policy. Some widely used modelling practices lead to potentially large errors in parameter estimates and, consequently, errors in model-based forecasts. Even more worryingly, in such situations, confidence in parameter estimates and forecasts can itself be...
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