La specifcazione di un modello per la previsione della domanda turistica mediante reti neurali

A. Guizzardi
In this paper aggregate tourist demand is modelled by the sum of a long term component, related to extra-economic factors, and a short term component, related to economic dynamics. For the latter a specification strategy is proposed that does not imply the choice of a particular functional form. This is made possible by the use of a neural networks model. As an example of empirical application, we define the intertemporal relationship among variables like exchange...