4 Works
Convergence on reduced aggression through shared behavioral traits in multiple populations of Astyanax mexicanus
Roberto Rodriguez-Morales, Paola Gonzalez-Lerma, Anders Yuiska, Ji Heon Han, Yolanda Guerra, Lina Crisostomo, Alex C. Keene, Erik R. Duboue & Johanna E. Kowalko
Abstract Background Aggression is observed across the animal kingdom, and benefits animals in a number of ways to increase fitness and promote survival. While aggressive behaviors vary widely across populations and can evolve as an adaptation to a particular environment, the complexity of aggressive behaviors presents a challenge to studying the evolution of aggression. The Mexican tetra, Astyanax mexicanus exists as an aggressive river-dwelling surface form and multiple populations of a blind cave form, some...
Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment
Thomas McAndrew, Allison Codi, Juan Cambeiro, Tamay Besiroglu, David Braun, Eva Chen, Luis Enrique Urtubey De Cèsaris & Damon Luk
Abstract Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data and generates a predictive distribution. However, human judgment has access to the same data as computational models plus experience, intuition, and subjective data. We propose a chimeric ensemble—a combination of computational and human judgment forecasts—as a novel approach to predicting the trajectory of an infectious agent. Each...
Convergence on reduced aggression through shared behavioral traits in multiple populations of Astyanax mexicanus
Roberto Rodriguez-Morales, Paola Gonzalez-Lerma, Anders Yuiska, Ji Heon Han, Yolanda Guerra, Lina Crisostomo, Alex C. Keene, Erik R. Duboue & Johanna E. Kowalko
Abstract Background Aggression is observed across the animal kingdom, and benefits animals in a number of ways to increase fitness and promote survival. While aggressive behaviors vary widely across populations and can evolve as an adaptation to a particular environment, the complexity of aggressive behaviors presents a challenge to studying the evolution of aggression. The Mexican tetra, Astyanax mexicanus exists as an aggressive river-dwelling surface form and multiple populations of a blind cave form, some...
Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment
Thomas McAndrew, Allison Codi, Juan Cambeiro, Tamay Besiroglu, David Braun, Eva Chen, Luis Enrique Urtubey De Cèsaris & Damon Luk
Abstract Forecasts of the trajectory of an infectious agent can help guide public health decision making. A traditional approach to forecasting fits a computational model to structured data and generates a predictive distribution. However, human judgment has access to the same data as computational models plus experience, intuition, and subjective data. We propose a chimeric ensemble—a combination of computational and human judgment forecasts—as a novel approach to predicting the trajectory of an infectious agent. Each...